Yes on CA Prop. 34 Shows Signs of Passing

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Probolsky Research conducted a statewide poll and asked likely voters how they would vote on Proposition 34 on the November General Election ballot. The ‘yes’ vote is winning but there are signs of weakness among certain demographic groups that the ‘no’ campaign might exploit. See memo below for details.

Contact Adam Probolsky at (949) 697-6726 for comments or more information about the poll.

Methodology

From July 31 to August 8, 2024, Probolsky Research conducted a poll among 900 likely 2024 General Election voters. The sample was drawn from voter files compiled by election officials across all 58 counties in California, using a stratified random sampling methodology to ensure it accurately reflects the demographic composition of likely 2024 General Election California voters. The poll was administered by phone (33%) and online (67%), yielding a margin of error of +/-3.3% with a 95% confidence level. 

We did not have a client associated with this research. It was conducted for public interest only.

Probolsky Research is a nonpartisan Latina and woman-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

Race for San Francisco Mayor Tied

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San Francisco uses ranked-choice voting. Ours is the only public poll that fully adheres to how the City’s Election Department counts the votes.

“Farrell’s strength this early in the election cycle is a very good sign for his campaign,” explained Adam Probolsky, president of Probolsky Research. “While tied for the lead, Breed has limited upside potential — she needs to hold on to every vote she has. Farrell has room to grow his support base from voters who are currently choosing other challenger candidates.”

Contact Adam Probolsky at 949-697-6726 for comments or additional background.

This poll was funded by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association Political Action Committee.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan, Latina and woman-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

Amazon vs. Temu: E-Commerce Giants Face Off

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We decided to go deep with a unique subset of U.S. consumers: Those who have made a purchase from both Amazon and Temu in the last year. Full results available here for download and also shown below.

Price Wars: Temu Wins

  • 76% of respondents consider Temu cheaper than Amazon
  • Temu’s competitive pricing is a major draw for budget-conscious shoppers

Amazon’s Speed Advantage

  • 81% say Amazon’s shipping is much faster
  • Amazon’s efficient logistics and last-mile capabilities are hard to beat

Product Variety: It’s Close

  • 45% find similar variety on both platforms
  • Amazon edges with a somewhat greater selection

Return Policies and Customer Service

  • 50% prefer Amazon’s return policies
  • 50% rate Amazon’s customer service as better; 45% rate them as similar

The Review Factor

  • 58% value reviews equally on both platforms
  • 32% consider reviews more important on Amazon

Overall Consumer Behavior

Both giants have their strengths. Temu wins on price, while Amazon excels in shipping speed and product variety.

The survey of 340 U.S. consumers who shopped on both platforms provides a unique view of consumer behavior and the e-commerce landscape. Check out our infographic for all the details.

The online panel-driven survey was conducted from 6/21/2024 to 6/24/2024 with a margin of error of +/-5.6%.

Probolsky Research is a woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm. We did not have a client associated with this research. It was conducted for public interest only.