American Association of Political Consultants Interview with Adam Probolsky

As our most generous donor on Giving Tuesday, last November, we wanted to take a moment and express our gratitude to long -time member, Adam Probolsky, President at Probolsky Research. Thank you, Adam–we appreciate your generosity and your dedication to improving the industry! Check out Adam’s full interview below:

AAPC: Tell us about yourself.
Adam: I am a pollster who knows his place at the strategy table. Having grown up in the political and public affairs world from an early age, I have done everything from manage campaigns to lobby to write direct mail. Since 2000 I have offered research exclusively. So, when I am on a conf. call or sitting in a strategy meeting I know the context of how my poll or focus group results integrate into the campaign. I can back up the consultant as appropriate, but I also know when to keep my mouth shut and let others shine – which is most of the time.

AAPC: As the largest donor to AAPC’s Foundation on Giving Tuesday, talk about your reasons for wanting to give back.
Adam: I have benefitted from the support of a handful of amazing mentors throughout my career and I always keep an open-door policy. I want to support the education of future professionals in this business. Also, keeping the government out of our business is critical, having an industry group is just as important for us as it is for any other profession.

AAPC: Any advice for those up and comers in the industry?
Adam: Don’t make assumptions. It may sound self-serving coming from a pollster who wants you to spend on high-quality research at every turn, but I have seen a trend among some newer industry player to heavily rely on social media listening or other overly broad research tools. They could be effective on a national scale, but not at the District-level or more local.

AAPC: What’s on the horizon for Probolsky Research in the new year?
Adam: Growth and innovation. We are hiring new research analysts to support our growing government and public affairs practice areas. And we always innovate. We never compromise on methodology, but we also never sit idle – we are constantly testing new techniques, new products and improving how we present our data. Example: infographics and video – we are now offering both as a way to illustrate our research results and make them more actionable.

AAPC: Any lessons learned from 2017 you want to share?
Adam: It was easy to get caught up in the hype that consumed national news coverage in this Trumpian era. But we chose not to lose sight of the thousands of local and regional campaigns, government clients and public affairs efforts where national politics had little or no impact.

See the interview on the American Association of Political Consultants website here.

Probolsky on Polling Process and Recommended Outreach for City Sales Tax Measure

There is no formula that is set in stone for how to conduct research on any subject matter. But when a local government is looking to pursue new voter-approved revenues, we have identified a process we follow to help the city, county or other agency understand their constituency and do the necessary outreach to communicate the need and purpose.

We welcome the chance to share this process and review the needs of any community and explain how we can help.

Here is a brief video of Adam Probolsky speaking to the Dixon, CA City Council about a poll our firm conducted on a possible special sales tax measure to fund transportation and infrastructure needs:

 

Texas Statewide Poll – Presented at the Lone Star Advocacy Symposium

Thank you to the attorneys and staff at Jackson Walker in Dallas for hosting a great Grassroots Professional Network – Lone Star Advocacy Symposium and reception. We presented the findings of our Texas statewide poll and talked about engagement, financial markets (including Bitcoin), renewable energy and trade.

You can view the results presentation here:
TEXAS Statewide Poll – Grassroots Professional Network – 2017

WATCH: CALAFCO Conference 2017 Poll Presentation

We conducted a poll for CALAFCO which represents all 58 California Local Agency Formation Commissions. And presented the findings at their October 25, 2017 in San Diego. The presentation and Q&A took over an hour, but I wanted to give people the chance to watch in less than 10 minutes. Click to watch and listen to the run-through below.

Contact our San Francisco office at 415-870-8150 if you would like more detailed results or a personalized briefing.

Click here for the the presentation posted at the CALAFCO.

Oakland Voters Support New Development, Funding for Affordable Housing

Unions keep fighting Oakland’s biggest for-sale housing proposal

By  –  Reporter, San Francisco Business Times

Oak Knoll development by SunCal in Oakland, California

Link to article: https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2017/10/17/oakland-oak-knoll-housing-union-opposition.html (paywall)

Probolsky Research conducted a poll on homelessness and on the proposed new development in East Oakland by SunCal, on behalf of the Consumer Alliance for a Strong Economy (CASE). Read the news release by CASE here.

 

The poll results can be found here.

 

California Gas Tax is Likely Here to Stay

In April, Governor Brown signed a new gas tax into law. There is a campaign to overturn this tax. And a judge, just days ago, re-wrote the ballot description calling the attorney general’s title “fundamentally flawed”.

Our poll found a majority of voters oppose the repeal of the gas tax.

The presentation on results can be found here:
Probolsky Research – Gas Tax Repeal – Presentation

The full report on results can be found here:
Probolsky Research – Gas Tax Repeal – Report on Results

 

 

No vote propensity category yields more than 40% in support for the gas tax repeal:

Just 52% of Republicans support the gas tax repeal. Majorities of both Democratic and independent voters oppose the the repeal:

Research on Homelessness in Wealthy Orange County, California

Homelessness as a policy issue has grown to become the most important issue to voters in many communities across America. You might think that homelessness would not be a factor in wealthy Orange County, California, but you would be wrong.

In fact, our research shows that it is the top issue. Over the course of the this summer we have conducted polling and used other research discovery tools to truly understand how voters relate to the homelessness issue, who they think is responsible for solving the problem and what they are willing to do to help solve the problem.

Adam Probolsky spoke at a series of county sponsored events over the last two weeks, where he presenting this data to city, county and community leaders who are working hard to address the homelessness issue.

These events included:

  • South County Homeless Roundtable, Mission Viejo, CA – September 7, 2017
  • Orange County North Service Planning Area Meeting, Anaheim, CA – September 11, 2017
  • Central County Homelessness Service Planning Area Meeting, Newport Beach, CA – September 25, 2018

Here is the presentation:

Probolsky Research – Orange County Voter Survey – Homelessness – Service Planning Area Meetings

For more detailed information on public perception of homelessness or other policy issues, please contact our Newport Beach (949) 855-6400 or San Francisco offices (415) 870-8150.

The 40-minute video which we call a discovery tool, including transcribed comments by voters talking about homelessness can be viewed here:

 

Transportation Poll Presentation to OCTax

Today we presented new poll results to OCTax on how Orange County voters feel about transportation.

 

The presentation is here:

Probolsky Research – The Future of Orange County’s Transportation

 

Orange County Survey on Homelessness

On Friday, July 14, 2017 Probolsky Research president Adam Probolsky presented the results to an Orange County, CA countywide poll on homelessness at a California Women’s Leadership Association forum.

Some surprising data were revealed, not the least of which was that homelessness and poverty are the top issues of concern among Orange County voters.

The presentation can be viewed here: Probolsky Research – Orange County Voter Survey – Homelessness UPDATED

The full report on results can be viewed here: Probolsky Research – Orange County Voter Survey – Homelessness – Full Report on Results

 

 

Western Advocacy Symposium – Grassroots Professional Network – Poll Presentation

Probolsky Research president Adam Probolsky presents our findings on opinions about the movie industry, multi-day music festivals, drones, self-driving cars and community engagement at the Western Advocacy Symposium – Grassroots Professional Network on May 12, 2017.

The presentation can be found here.

The full report on results can be found here.