Read the article here: https://sanjosespotlight.com/independent-poll-in-silicon-valleys-congressional-race-revealed/
Last week Adam Probolsky presented the results of a poll in California’s 16th Congressional District on the Texas Instruments campus in Santa Clara, CA. The poll was sponsored by local media outlet San José Spotlight which covers news, politics and business in Silicon Valley.
This episode features Marco Paredes, attorney/lobbyist and go-to guy for Florida advocacy. We talked about how he ended up in Tallahassee, his lobbying style, and his popular weekly newsletter about the Florida legislature that he started during the pandemic – Rotunda Report.
Marco Paredes is a Shareholder and serves as the Director of Government Affairs for the law firm of Stearns Weaver Miller in Florida. Marco helps clients formulate and execute strategies to achieve their desired policy goals by advocating for their business interests and priorities before state government.
Link to episode on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/marco-paredes/id1707096907?i=1000629543727
Nonprofits can accomplish big things by understanding their market, donors, employees and public opinion – we love working for organizations that help the communities they serve.
A big thank you to Delaney Mullennix, MPA for having this discussion with Adam Probolsky on the Nonprofit Hub podcast.
We know the candidate field is not set, but everyone wants to know who’s viable in the race for U.S. Senate in California. And the numbers show that Congressman Schiff and Congresswoman Porter both have a shot.
Rep. Adam Schiff (D) and businessman Steve Garvey (R) lead with about 21% of the vote for each of them. Even more voters (23%) are undecided.
“We don’t see a viable path for Rep. Barbara Lee,” said Adam Probolsky, the pollster who conducted the poll and president of Probolsky Research. “There is no chance that a Republican could win in the General Election, but for the moment, having a former Major League Baseball player in the mix looks promising for the GOP to have a chance at being on the ballot in November.”
This survey was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.
Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.
Our recent poll of California voters found a high level of concern over cognitive decline among presidential candidates and a desire to elect a U.S. Senator that is younger than 78 years old.
“We respect our parents, grandparents, and great grandparents, and the wisdom they bring to politics and public policy,” explained Adam Probolsky, president of Probolsky Research. “We simply see the conversation happening about age and want to understand the motivations of the voters. Clearly they have strong feelings.”
When asked about concern over the age of candidates in the presidential election, there was a near 42% differential between Democratic and Republican voters. The willingness to elect an older U.S. Senator was higher among Democratic than Republican voters, but the differential between the two parties was significantly less at only 17%. This may speak to a Democratic voter instinct to defend President Joe Biden amidst the critiques of his age as he gears up for reelection.
This survey was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.
Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.
Our poll conducted this week found continued dissatisfaction with San Francisco Mayor London Breed, so much so that she would lose a re-election bid if the election was held today. “Even with limited name ID Supervisor Safaí beats Mayor Breed,” explained Adam Probolsky, the pollster who conducted the survey. “The Mayor is upside-down with voters. This is just one reason she is losing to a lesser-known candidate.”
Public safety and homelessness are the top concerns of voters. No other issue comes close.
Methodology
From June 16 to June 20, 2023, Probolsky Research conducted a survey among likely San Francisco 2024 General Election voters. A total of 300 voters were surveyed yielding a margin of error of +/-5.8%, with a confidence level of 95%. Interviews were conducted online (67%) and via live telephone phone interview (33%) survey methods. Online participants were invited by email and text to web to access the survey by computer, tablet, or smartphone. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (97%), Cantonese (2%), and Spanish (1%). The poll was sponsored by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association.
[1]QUESTIONS: What is the most important issue facing your community today? // Here is a list of several individuals and organizations. For each name, please indicate if you have heard of them and if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, that’s OK. // Do you think that San Francisco Mayor London breed deserves to be re-elected? // If the election for San Francisco Mayor were held today, for which candidate would you vote. Pick one.
Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, non-profit, and special interest clients.
In a recent poll, Probolsky Research found what most people might expect: voter dissatisfaction with the current direction of the City of San Francisco and the leadership of the mayor. “With nearly three in four voters unhappy about the direction of the City, it is no wonder that they think Mayor Breed is doing a poor job and that she is largely unpopular,” explained Adam Probolsky, the pollster who conducted the survey. “The chances of Mayor Breed winning another term in office are dim at the moment with a majority saying she doesn’t deserve to be re-elected.”
Looking beyond the top issue of concern, crime, voters also express dissatisfaction with how the mayor is handling the approval of new housing.
This poll was sponsored by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association.
Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, non-profit, and special interest clients.
