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Yes on CA Prop. 34 Shows Signs of Passing

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Probolsky Research conducted a statewide poll and asked likely voters how they would vote on Proposition 34 on the November General Election ballot. The ‘yes’ vote is winning but there are signs of weakness among certain demographic groups that the ‘no’ campaign might exploit. See memo below for details.

Contact Adam Probolsky at (949) 697-6726 for comments or more information about the poll.

Methodology

From July 31 to August 8, 2024, Probolsky Research conducted a poll among 900 likely 2024 General Election voters. The sample was drawn from voter files compiled by election officials across all 58 counties in California, using a stratified random sampling methodology to ensure it accurately reflects the demographic composition of likely 2024 General Election California voters. The poll was administered by phone (33%) and online (67%), yielding a margin of error of +/-3.3% with a 95% confidence level. 

We did not have a client associated with this research. It was conducted for public interest only.

Probolsky Research is a nonpartisan Latina and woman-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

California is Not Prepared for the Next Economic Downturn

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In a new poll presented exclusively to the Sacramento Bee, Probolsky Research has found that most voters do not think California state government is prepared for the next recession.

More than 62% of voters say the state is not prepared, while just 19% think it is. A majority of every demographic and geographic group says the state is not prepared.

“It is rare that we find agreement across every group on an issue. A majority of voters of every party, ethnicity and location with in the state agree that California is not prepared for the next recession,” explains Adam Probolsky, president of Probolsky Research. “The memory of the last recession just about ten years ago is fresh in the minds of voters. Many of them were teenagers and young adults at the time and saw the devastating impact it had on their families.”

The results of the poll can be viewed here:

 

Probolsky Research conducts market and opinion research and was not paid to conduct this poll. We present these results for public interest.

WATCH: CALAFCO Conference 2017 Poll Presentation

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We conducted a poll for CALAFCO which represents all 58 California Local Agency Formation Commissions. And presented the findings at their October 25, 2017 in San Diego. The presentation and Q&A took over an hour, but I wanted to give people the chance to watch in less than 10 minutes. Click to watch and listen to the run-through below.

Contact our San Francisco office at 415-870-8150 if you would like more detailed results or a personalized briefing.

Click here for the the presentation posted at the CALAFCO.

One-Half of Californian Voters Say President Obama Should be Re-Elected; Romney Leads Republican Primary Contenders

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