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Voters Oppose Cuts to Solar Incentives

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Reports that California regulators are looking at cutting the incentives offered for installing solar in homes have sparked vocal opposition. We decided to test broad public opinion on the subject among California voters in our latest statewide poll and found a large majority of voters oppose the move that would make installing rooftop solar much less cost-effective in the state.

Probolsky Research president Adam Probolsky talks about the poll finding:

It appears that California regulators are out of touch with the voters on this issue. We have conditioned the public to conserve energy and look for greener alternatives. Cutting incentives for solar does not jive with the narrative of going green.

Voters across the spectrum Democratic, No Party Preference, and Republican oppose these incentive cuts. In fact, in every way of looking at the data, by age, gender, preferred language, and geography, voters align in their opposition to cutting solar incentives.

Regulators have a big challenge on their hands. They will have to backtrack on their plans or mount a huge effort to educate the public on why they need to make changes.

QUESTION: California regulators are proposing to cut the incentives for solar offered to homeowners, making it much less cost-effective for installing rooftop solar. Do you support or oppose cutting these incentives?

Every demographic group opposes the cutting the incentives. The charts below illustrate

Our multi-mode poll was conducted by telephone with live U.S.-based interviewers and online via email and text message invitations in English and Spanish among 900 California voters from January 29 – February 3, 2022. The sample was developed from the voter file compiled by the fifty-eight California elections officials. We matched the demographics of California voters.

Interviews were conducted with live U.S.-based interviewers by phone (17%) and online survey methods (83%). Phone participants were interviewed through landline (36%) and mobile (64%) calls. Online participants were invited by email (50%) and text message (50%) to access the survey by computer, tablet, or smart phone. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (85%) and Spanish (15%).

A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.3% and a 95% confidence level. This survey question was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan Latina- and woman-owned research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients. The firm has offices in Newport Beach, San Francisco and Washington DC.

Effort to Eliminate Collective Bargaining Would Fail

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Public employee unions in California have little to worry about from the proposed ballot measure by businessman Tim Draper, that aims to eliminate collective bargaining. Fewer than 1/3 of voters support the proposal.

QUESTION: Here is a ballot initiative that may be facing California voters in 2022, “Eliminates collective bargaining for teachers, police officers, nurses, firefighters, and other public employees. Initiative Constitutional Amendment. Eliminates collective bargaining between state/local governments and labor organizations (including unions) representing teachers, police officers, nurses, firefighters, and other public employees about wages, benefits, hours, labor disputes, or other work conditions. Requires the Governor-appointed State Personnel Board to establish wages and benefits for state employees. Prohibits new or amended public-employee labor agreements, including extensions, but does not impact existing agreements. Authorizes state/local governments to provide up to 12 months of severance pay to employees who resign within three months of measure’s enactment.” If the election were held today would you vote yes or no on this measure? 

There is no demographic group that supports the takedown of public employee unions.

The full text of the proposed ballot initiative can be found on the Secretary of State’s website here.

Our multi-mode poll was conducted by telephone and online among 900 California voters from November 12 – 18, 2021. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.3% and a 95% confidence level. This survey question was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan Latina- and woman-owned research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

Poizner on top in race for CA Insurance Commissioner

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We included the race for Insurance Commissioner on our latest statewide poll. We conducted this poll and present these results for public interest purposes. We have no client in this race.

Poizner leads Lara by 6%, but that number is dwarfed by the 39% of voters who say they are unsure.

Texas Statewide Poll – Presented at the Lone Star Advocacy Symposium

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Thank you to the attorneys and staff at Jackson Walker in Dallas for hosting a great Grassroots Professional Network – Lone Star Advocacy Symposium and reception. We presented the findings of our Texas statewide poll and talked about engagement, financial markets (including Bitcoin), renewable energy and trade.

You can view the results presentation here:
TEXAS Statewide Poll – Grassroots Professional Network – 2017